Thursday, February 2, 2012

Facebook Files IPO: What It Means For You

shutterstock_93495961.jpgFacebook shocked no one by filing an initial public offering of its shares today.

The filing was the first glimpse into the company's inner financial workings and, as expected, Facebook said it would try to raise $5 billion when the company's shares begins trading - a number that could eventually be raised to $10 billion and would ultimately value the company between $75 billion and $100 billion.

Today marks the day that Mark Zuckerberg goes from being the guy who makes world-changing technology to the guy who makes money. (He could be worth $20 billion when all is said and done). And it also means today is the day you stop being a Facebook user and become a Facebook customer.

That can mean good and bad things for you, the end user. But one thing is certain: Facebook will never be the same again.

Sponsor

For starters, Facebook's success will no longer be judged by the number of users (which is expected to top a billion sometime in August). From here on out, Facebook will be judged by its share price, market cap, P/E ratio and a whole host of other Wall Street jargon. Pay no attention to Zuckerbeg's assertion that the company won't be beholden to quarterly reports: they will (just ask Jeff Bezos, who made a similar promise when Amazon went public).

And, by the way, those numbers are impressive: Facebook had revenue of $3.71 billion last year, up from $1.96 billion in 2010 and $777 million in 2009.

The good news is that happy customers (which, in this case include Facebook users and companies that advertise of Facebook) can often translate into happy shareholders. The changes, to be certain, will be subtle at first, but over the coming months and years, here's what to expect:

Wealth Inhibits Drive

Zuckerberg isn't the only Facebook employee who stands to gain life-changing wealth as a result of today's filing. Facebook hires in the past year have at least known that the company was pushing towards a public offering and they stood to profit, and employees who have been there longer may have held out in anticipation of today's announcement. About a third of Facebook's 3,000 employees could become instant millionaires on the first day shares trade.

And that could spell trouble, according to Peter Jackson. Jackson is a Silicon Valley pioneer who took Introware public during the dot-com boom. At one point, his own wealth was placed at $300 million, and many company secretaries were millionaires. Eventually, however, the firm went bankrupt.

"The parking lot used to be full from 7 a.m. until 8 p.m.," Jackson told Bloomberg News. "Right after we went public, people were showing up at nine o'clock and they were leaving at five. There were a lot more things to do once you had a lot more money."

Getting Out After Cashing Out

Facebook will also face new challenges in trying to keep many of those 3,000 workers. Lost in the comparisons to Google's 2004 IPO is that many employees who worked for years building Google into an IPO-ready company have since left, including current Facebook COO Sheryl Sandberg.

Indeed, one of the first parts of the IPO filing many investors turned to was the section covering its employees and talent. Potential investors at least want to know that Facebook has been able to retain employees and avoid turnover in the year or so leading up to the IPO.

Writing at CNN.com, media theorist Douglas Rushkoff says some of these factors may already be in play.

"If a company is big enough - and that means simply holding enough money - then sooner or later that money influences the rest of the company's activities," he said. "The promise of cashing in a few million dollars worth of stock options helps many a programmer make it through a late night of coding."

Meet The New Boss - Not The Same As The Old Boss

One of the reasons Facebook has been successful is that it has been able to wait out initial reactions to everything from changes in its privacy policies to big site overhauls like the introduction of Timeline.

The knee-jerk responses of the stock market, as well as the quarterly report cards that come in the form of earnings reports, may mean Facebook innovations post-IPO won't have as much time to incubate before Facebook has to make a decision on whether or not to push forward with new initiatives.

Timeline, for example, was originally announced in September but a full rollout was repeatedly delayed as Facebook tweaked it to make it more appealing to users. It was finally rolled out network-wide last month. Had it been introduced after Facebook went public, the four months it took Facebook to perfect Timeline would have stretched over, and affected, three quarterly earnings reports.

Google experienced a similar shift following its IPO. Google started to phase out its Google Labs testing ground last July, around the same time it introduced Google+ to show investors it was dealing with the Facebook threat. And remember when Google used to brag that employees got 20% of their work time to do whatever they want? Boasts like that don't fly with Wall Street investors.

"Simply becoming a multi-billion-dollar company changes the essence of its goals, activities and purpose," Rushkoff said. "Its bloodstream becomes filled with cash, and cash has its own agenda."

All That Said, You Need This To Work

The best case scenario is Facebook becomes one of those offerings in which what's good for the customer is good for the shareholder, and ultimately good for anyone who uses social media.

Last year was marked by a string of disappointing IPOs in the social media sector - disappointments, in large part because those interests didn't align as well as company executives had hoped.

People who bought deals from Groupon loved the service, but advertisers backed away when they realized it wasn't generating the repeat business they had hoped for, and that made Wall Street weary. People love playing games on Zynga so much that they can't be bothered to click onto ads and fuel the company's revenue model. LinkedIn may have been the most successful IPO in 2011 in the social media space, but that was considered underwhelming - in large part because investors are still waiting to see if Facebook will eventually become an online space for social and business networking.

A successful Facebook IPO means some restored faith in the social media space. That means more capital and more incentive for the next Zuckerberg to come along and create something earthshaking instead of finishing a degree at Harvard.

Photo courtesy of ShutterStock.

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Coming Soon: Augmented Reality Goggles for Crime Scene Investigations

Dutch scientists develop a set of augmented reality goggles to help the police in crime scene investigations.

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Wednesday, February 1, 2012

CW Finds its Green Arrow in Stephen Amell

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The "Private Practice" and "Hung" star will play the super hero from the DC Comics series in the drama pilot set up at the youth-skewing network.

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10 Big Tech Ideas For Retailers

Mobile and social lead the list of hot tech trends for retailers, but they had company at the National Retail Federation's Big Show 2012. Here's a basket full of ideas to check out.

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Report: Facebook Ad Spending Grew 1600% in 2011

Facebook-ad-150.jpgWe're all on the edge of our seats waiting for the Facebook IPO to drop. Thankfully, Kara Swisher over at AllThingsD reports that we can all hang out a bit (maybe), cuz the FB IPO isn't dropping till later today (probably). Phew.

The Wall Street Journal proper reports (no offense, AllThingsD) that Facebook probably makes most of its revenue off of online advertising combined with cuts from game purchases. Before its public offering, Zynga reported $828.9 million in revenue through the third quarter. Facebook takes a 30% cut from games that live on its ecosystem. In this instance, Facebook collected about $350 million from Zynga. Facebook Credits are another revenue stream now there's even a a user loyalty incentive component.

As Facebook moves forward with its IPO, many are wondering just how much it makes off of ads. Boston-based Nanigans, a Facebook ads API developer, reports 1600% growth in Facebook ad spending over the past year.

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You've heard it before: Marketers are trying to figure out how to best reach their target audience. Facebook ads are becoming more appealing - or at least that's what Facebook's advertising solutions want us to believe. "Marketers across the globe, and beyond early adopters, have embraced Facebook as a mainstream media platform," says Nanigans CEO Ric Calvillo.

Facebook revealed more about its ad strategy at the end of last year, shortly before it rolled out Timeline to all users. Facebook tailors its ads to the user, delivering what it believes users want to see. Users also have the option of X-ing an ad if they do not want to see it.

Nanigans' Ad Engine is focused on the more granular aspects of Facebook ads. It optimizes marketers' Facebook ad spend to meet goals on Facebook, such as "likes," app installs, registration, in-app actions, viral referrals and purchases. In 2011, it served over 175 billion Facebook ad impressions.

Facebook is readying to file a $5 billion IPO, but that number could end up being closer to $10 billion. As the New York Times reports, this entire offering is fueled by you, the user who continuously provides Facebook with the personal data it needs to serve targeted ads. Barrons reports that 90% of Facebook's $3.8 billion revenue in 2011 came from ads.

Soon Facebook CEO Mark Zuckerberg will thank you kindly, and Wall Street will officially place a value on your personal data. Will advertisers bite harder in 2012? And more importantly, will users provide the social network with even more personal data?

Photo courtesy of ShutterStock.

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Guest Column: The Business Of Racing, By Eric Trytko

With the news coming out today that Ant West will not be able to make the grid for the 2012 motor GP season, due to his inability to find funding for his ride, brings up an interesting take on where the sport of MotoGP, motorcycle racing, and motor sports in general fits in with life today in our current economic environment.

Young riders coming up today, and even current riders, need to understand that they are no longer being paid to race. This is a major change in mindset, what they are paid to do is work as a marketing tool for their sponsors and patrons. For most of the history of athletics and motorsports, one of two things had to happen for you to compete, you either were either wealthy, or, you had to have a wealthy patron. Patron, another term for sponsor, is something that disappeared, for the most part, post-World War II on a personal level. Post World War II sponsorship came from corporations rather than people though that really didn't become visible until the 1960s with the Lotus Formula One team.

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